Monday, February 9, 2015

Inflations

 Inflation

 A rise in the general level of prices
 Standard Inflation Rate : 2-3%
 Measuring Inflation

  • A. Inflation Rate - Measures percentage increase in price level over time
  • ~ Key indicator of economy's strength
Deflation - Decline in general price level
Disinflation - Occurs when inflation rate itself declined
Consumer Price Index (CPI) - Measures inflation by tracking the yearly price of a fixed basket of consumer goods and services
Indicates changes in the price level and cost of living

 Solving Inflation Problems
  • Finding inflation rate using market basket data -
((current year market basket value - base year market basket value) / base year market basket value) x 100
  • Finding inflation rate using index prices-
((current year price index - base year price index) / base year price index) x 100
  • Estimating inflation rate using the rule of 70-
 Rule of 70: Used to calculate the number of years it will take for the price level to double at any given rate of inflation
Years needed to double inflation = 70 / annual inflation rate
Determining real wages
(Nominal wages / price level) x 100
Finding real interest rate

 Real interest rate = nominal interest rate - inflation premium
  • Cost of borrowing or lending money that is adjusted for expected inflation (always expressed as percentage)
Nominal Interest Rate = 
  • did not adjust the cost of borrowing or lending money
Causes of Inflation
  •  Demand-Pull Inflation - Caused by an excess of demand over output that pulls prices upward
  • Cost-Push Inflation - Caused by a rise in per unit production cost due to increasing resource cost
 Effects of Inflation
  • Anticipated - Ex. In a year, we're gonna lay off people. You see it coming.
  • Unanticipated - Ex. Just fired abruptly. It hits you like a freight train.
Hurt by Inflation
  •  People on Fixed Income - Social security, etc.
  • Savers - People who save money
  •  Lenders/Creditors
Helped by Inflation
  •  Borrowers, because their debt would be repaid with cheaper dollars than those that were loaned out
  • Fixed Contracts - Rate cannot change

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